Raymond shares analysis today 15/05/2025

 


As of May 15, 2025, Raymond Ltd's share price stands at approximately ₹551.20, reflecting a significant drop of about 66% from the previous day's close of ₹1,561.30. This sharp decline is primarily due to the company's real estate arm, Raymond Realty, being demerged, leading to a notional price adjustment rather than a market sell-off.

📉 Recent Performance & Demerger Impact

#Demerger Details: On May 14, 2025, Raymond Ltd's stock turned ex-date for the demerger of its real estate business, Raymond Realty. Shareholders will receive one share of Raymond Realty for every share held in Raymond Ltd. The demerger allows Raymond Realty to operate independently, focusing on the Mumbai Metropolitan Region (MMR) with a strong project pipeline. 

#Stock Adjustment: The 66% drop in share price is a technical adjustment reflecting the separation of the realty arm. It's not indicative of a sell-off or loss in intrinsic value.

📊 Financial Health & Valuation

#Debt Reduction: Raymond Ltd has successfully reduced its debt, improving its financial stability. 

#Valuation Metrics:

#Price-to-Book Ratio: Approximately 0.99, suggesting the stock is trading close to its book value.

#Intrinsic Value: Estimated at ₹2,481.28, indicating the stock may be undervalued by about 78% compared to its current market price.

📈 Analyst Outlook & Price Targets

#Short-Term Forecast: WalletInvestor projects the stock could reach ₹1,946.15 within a year, representing a potential upside of over 250%. 

#Long-Term Forecast: By 2030, the stock is expected to rise to ₹3,606.77, suggesting a substantial long-term growth potential. 

#Consensus Price Target: Analysts have set an average 12-month price target of ₹2,310, indicating a potential upside of over 300% from the current price.

🏗️ Raymond Realty Prospects

#Listing Timeline: Raymond Realty is expected to be listed by the second quarter of FY26. 

#Project Pipeline: The real estate arm boasts a robust project pipeline worth ₹40,000 crore, focusing on the MMR region through joint development agreements. 

✅ Investment Considerations

#Value Unlocking: The demerger is seen as a strategic move to unlock value for shareholders, allowing each entity to focus on its core competencies.

#Undervalued Stock: Given the current market price and intrinsic value estimates, Raymond Ltd appears to be undervalued, presenting a potential investment opportunity.

#Growth Potential: With positive analyst forecasts and a strong project pipeline in its real estate arm, the company shows promising growth prospects. 


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