Nifty outlook today

 


Here’s the **Nifty outlook for June 9, 2025**, along with what to watch going forward:


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## 📈 **Market Snapshot & Recent Performance**


* **Nifty 50 closed at \~25,103**, up 0.40% (+100 points), marking its fourth consecutive day of gains and an eight-month high ([moneycontrol.com][1]).

* The rally was broad-based, led by gains in the banking, IT, power, and PSU bank sectors ([moneycontrol.com][1]).


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## 🔍 **Drivers Behind the Upswing**


* **Monetary easing**: RBI surprised markets with a 50 bps repo rate cut and 100 bps CRR reduction—boosting liquidity, lending, and investor sentiment ([reuters.com][2]).

* **Global tailwinds**: Robust US jobs data and progress in US–India trade talks supported risk appetite ([reuters.com][2]).

* **Foreign inflows**: FIIs turned net buyers, bolstered by optimistic global factors and technical strength .


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## 🛠️ **Technical Levels to Monitor**


* **Support/Resistance**:


  * Key support lies at **24,800** (20‑day SMA); a fall below 24,800–24,700 could test \~24,500 ([livemint.com][3]).

  * Immediate resistance is at **25,100**, with potential upside to **25,400–25,600** on a breakout .

  * A breach above 25,100 may open the path to **25,500** in the coming weeks ([livemint.com][4]).


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## 👓 **Expert Sentiment & Strategy**


* **Market structure**: Analysts describe the rally as constructive, despite recent consolidation between \~24,500–25,500; further rally depends on fresh catalysts .

* **Sector focus**: Financials, consumer goods, infrastructure remain favored. Cautious stance on export—and globally exposed segments ([economictimes.indiatimes.com][5]).

* **Near-term taboos**: Watch for inflation/CPI data, RBI stance, global headwinds, and monsoon-related cues .


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## 📅 **What’s Next – The Week Ahead**


* **Macro triggers**: Portfolio flows (especially FIIs), US–India trade talks, domestic inflation data, and RBI commentary will be key .

* **Technical watchlist**:


  * Bullish: holds above 25,000–25,100 with upside to 25,500–25,600.

  * Bearish: drops below 24,800, risking 24,500.


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## ✅ **Bottom Line**


Nifty is in a cautiously optimistic mode, driven by domestic liquidity and global positivity. Maintaining the 24,800–25,000 base is critical. Focus on:


* Market momentum: Will it break and hold above **25,100–25,500**?

* Hawk–dove RBI narrative affecting flows.

* Global developments like US jobs, currencies, and trade dynamics.



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